Presidential Polls 2012: Obama and Romney tied at 49%, final CNN/ORC International survey says

By on Nov 5, 2012 in International, Politics, United States Comments

The latest and final CNN presidential polls showed that US President Barack Obama and Republican candidate Mitt Romney are tied at 49%, with only two days left before the US presidential election, which is the virtually the same with the result from the latest Rasmussen Reports polls.

As announced at CNN.com on Sunday, November 4, 2012, Obama and Romney have attracted 49% each of likely voters across the US, based on their survey conducted from November 2-4 (Friday to Sunday) by ORC International, as compared to final NBC News/WSJ polls where Obama had 48% and Romney with 47%.

According to the report, the survey was conducted to 1,010 adult Americans, including 918 registered voters and 693 likely voters, questioned by telephone, which had a sampling error of plus or minus 3.5 percentage points for the for likely and registered voters as well.

“Fifty-three percent of women saying they plan to vote for President Obama compared to only 44% of men. That works out to a nine-point gender gap, which would be the largest since 1996,” CNN Polling Director Keating Holland was quoted in the report.

“On age, Obama is getting less support among younger voters than he did four years ago. But he manages a tie with Governor Romney among senior citizens – a group he lost to Senator McCain by eight points.” Holland added, noting that the Democratic Party is being viewed as more favorably than the Republicans.

Obama also has inevitability on his side: 57% say he will win another term, compared to only 36% who think Romney will win. And with only 4% saying that they might change their minds before Election Day, time is running out to make that closing argument.” Holland further explained.

Based on the survey, Romney is winning over Obama among white voters, 57% to 40%; while the president is leading over former Massachusetts governor among voters who earn less than $50,000 a year, 56% to 40%. On the other hand, Romney has a 52%-47% advantage among those earning $50,000 per year and above.

Meanwhile, the final CNN presidential poll also shows that President Obama is ahead in the Northeast, Midwest, and urban areas, while Mitt Romney is leading in the South, West, and suburban and rural areas. The same poll also reveals that Obama has a favorable rating of 52% in the poll, while Romney is very close at 51%.

CNN presidential polls result 2012

Final CNN/ORC International presidential polls results
Image Credit: CNN.com


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