Electoral College Map 2012: Projections show President Obama leading over Mitt RomneyBy Angel Cuala on Nov 5, 2012 in International, Politics, United States •
Updated: November 7, 2012 1:35 p.m.
The latest projections of the Electoral College Map for the 2012 US elections show that President Barack Obama is leading over Republican candidate Mitt Romney, less than 24 hours before the Election Day, on Tuesday, November 6. A presidential candidate should have 270 electoral votes to win the election.
As of Monday, November 5, 2012, the Electoral College Map 2012 for ABC/Washington Post presidential polls show that President Obama has 207 electoral votes, while Mitt Romney has only 191, which means Obama only needs 63 to win his re-election bid, as compared to 78 for the former Massachusetts governor.
As noted by ABC News Political Director Amy Walter, latest presidential polls indicate that Obama is slightly ahead in Wisconsin, Iowa, and Ohio. If he will win in these three states, he may not win in every other battleground state, such as Nevada, Colorado, Virginia, Florida, and New Hampshire, but still can win the electorate.
For Ohio, which is notably the key to win the election, Romney is being projected to win without it, as long as he wins in Wisconsin, Colorado, Iowa, New Ohio, New Hampshire, Virginia, and Florida. For Obama, he is being expected to win without it provided he wins in Virginia, Wisconsin, New Hampshire, and Nevada.
Meanwhile, The New York Times‘ Electoral College Map indicates that President Obama has 243 electoral votes, against 206 of Mitt Romney, with Ohio, Virginia, Wisconsin, Colorado, Iowa, New Hampshire, and Florida as the remaining toss-up states. ABC News includes Nevada in the list of their toss-up states.
On the other hand, Houston Chronicle‘s Rick Dunham reported also this Monday that Colorado is the only remaining toss-up state in their Electoral College Map, which indicates that President Obama could win the electoral votes over Romney, 281 to 248, after analyzing the current figures on the map at RealClearPolitics.com.
“Obama’s small lead reflects an important change in the dynamics of the race. Last Monday, Romney led in six of the ten previous polls. Now, Obama is ahead in states (and the District of Columbia) with 281 electoral votes — more than enough to win if he just hangs on.” Dunham wrote at Blog.Chron.com.
“Romney‘s best hope for victory: that all of the polls are wrong and that Republican enthusiasm trumps the pollsters’ turnout models.” Dunham added, noting that the Republican candidate has an advantage in the southern swing states, such as Virginia, North Carolina, and Florida.
For Rasmussen Reports, their latest Electoral College Map indicates that eight states with a total of 95 Electoral College votes still remain as toss-ups, which include Colorado, Florida, Iowa, Nevada, New Hampshire, Ohio, Virginia, and Wisconsin. Obama has now 237 electoral votes, while Romney has only 206.
ABC/Washington Post’s Electoral College Map 2012
Image Credit: ABCNews.go.com/
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